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Wuhan Tennis Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Sonay Kartal

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $82.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $589.8KEvent: Wuhan Tennis Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Sonay Kartal
51.5¢
Maja Chwalinska
48.5¢
Sonay Kartal
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets23Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution92Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority48Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 15 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:228 trades$207.5K trackedsource coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Sonay Kartal · $16.7K net·15 wallets·$71.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMaja Chwalinska$10.0K@ 50¢·tiger105

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Maja Chwalinska pressure: $5.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$5.7K
6h
−$31.5K
tracked
$207.5K

15 verified profitable wallets: Sonay Kartal · $16.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 48

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Maja Chwalinska or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-25 10:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Maja Chwalinska and Sonay Kartal in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maja Chwalinska' if Maja Chwalinska advances against Sonay Kartal. This market will resolve to 'Sonay Kartal' if Sonay Kartal advances against Maja Chwalinska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
SigorJabson2 linked markets · $3.9K gross
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $58 gross
0xea5f…da0e3 linked markets · $42 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Maja Chwalinska DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $15.4K → $3.9K · 7s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Maja Chwalinska; negative values favor Sonay Kartal. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMaja Chwalinska · $5.7K
6hSonay Kartal · $31.5K
24hSonay Kartal · $8.8K

Maja Chwalinska price VWAP

Volume-weighted Maja Chwalinska price. Sonay Kartal fills are converted to the complementary Maja Chwalinska probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current51.5¢
VWAP 24h40.8¢▲ above by 10.7pp
VWAP 7d40.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Maja Chwalinska price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$3.9K
50¢
← now
$71.5K
45¢
$45.4K
40¢
$17.5K
35¢
$10.3K
30¢
$6.9K
25¢
$24.3K
20¢
$10.5K
15¢
$11.7K
10¢
$5.5K
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMaja Chwalinska$10.0K@ 50.3¢
tiger1050x0d23…2d56
🐋—about 6 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Sonay Kartal (-1.5) vs Maja Chwalinska (+1.5)
0.0¢$6.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Maja Chwalinska vs Sonay Kartal
0.0¢$3.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Sonay Kartal (-1.5) vs Maja Chwalinska (+1.5)
0.0¢$1.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chwalinska vs. Kartal: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$1.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Maja Chwalinska vs. Sonay Kartal: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$776priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chwalinska vs. Kartal: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢$93priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chwalinska vs. Kartal: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢$37priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chwalinska vs. Kartal: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesSonay Kartal$32.6K
BUY VWAP 59.1¢·23 fills
robustmstSonay Kartal$14.5K
BUY VWAP 56.9¢·3 fills
CORGI8Maja Chwalinska$11.6K
BUY VWAP 32.1¢·2 fills
tiger105Maja Chwalinska$10.0K
BUY VWAP 50.3¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.