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Guangzhou 2: Zhizhen Zhang vs Kaichi Uchida

● quote 1184 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $46Event: Guangzhou 2: Zhizhen Zhang vs Kaichi Uchida
88.5¢
Zhizhen Zhang
11.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection52Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%
24h sample:3 trades$21 trackedsource coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 53 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$11
6h
+$21
tracked
$21

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 1184 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 53 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-26 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Zhizhen Zhang and Kaichi Uchida in the Guangzhou 2, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zhizhen Zhang' if Zhizhen Zhang advances against Kaichi Uchida. This market will resolve to 'Kaichi Uchida' if Kaichi Uchida advances against Zhizhen Zhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Zhizhen Zhang; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hZhizhen Zhang · $11
6hZhizhen Zhang · $21
24hZhizhen Zhang · $21

Zhizhen Zhang price VWAP

Volume-weighted Zhizhen Zhang price. NO fills are converted to the complementary Zhizhen Zhang probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current88.5¢
VWAP 24h86.9¢▲ above by 1.6pp
VWAP 7d87.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Zhizhen Zhang price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
← now
$30
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Zhang vs. Uchida: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢$21priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zhang vs. Uchida: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢$15priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Zhizhen Zhang (-4.5) vs Kaichi Uchida (+4.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zhang vs. Uchida: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zhang vs. Uchida: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zhizhen Zhang vs. Kaichi Uchida: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zhang vs. Uchida: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zhang vs. Uchida: Match O/U 21.5
44.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.