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Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)

● quote 10s ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 10 hoursLiquidity: $104.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $166.8KEvent: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs
55.5¢
FURIA
44.5¢
BetBoom Team
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:25 trades$67.1K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 176 min agoofficial metadata 52s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBetBoom Team$33.8K@ 45¢·acorp

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$39.5K
tracked
$67.1K

1 verified profitable wallet: FURIA · $19.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 176 minutes old.
  • •Less than 10h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-18 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA wins 2 or more maps than BetBoom Team in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "BetBoom Team".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand Final match between FURIA and BetBoom Team in the Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA wins 2 or more maps than BetBoom Team in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "BetBoom Team". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining maps required to decide the match, including a map in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x29b5…cc6c2 linked markets · $51.5K gross
acorp2 linked markets · $36.5K gross
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $1.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY BetBoom Team@ 45.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FURIA; negative values favor BetBoom Team. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFURIA · $0
6hBetBoom Team · $39.5K
24hBetBoom Team · $20.5K

FURIA price VWAP

Volume-weighted FURIA price. BetBoom Team fills are converted to the complementary FURIA probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current55.5¢
VWAP 24h54.3¢▲ above by 1.2pp
VWAP 7d54.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FURIA price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$47.9K
50¢
$19.2K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBetBoom Team$33.8K@ 45.0¢
acorp0x99e4…e4c4
🐋—about 5 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs
73.5¢$114.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: FURIA (-2.5) vs BetBoom Team (+2.5)
0.0¢$8.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 3.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 4 Winner
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 3 Winner
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 4.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

acorpBetBoom Team$33.8K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·1 fill
0x29b5…cc6cFURIA$19.4K
BUY VWAP 52.7¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.