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Florence: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Bondioli

Sports→TennisSettlement: Federico BondioliLiquidity: $65.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $127.9KEvent: Florence: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Bondioli
0.0¢
Zdenek Kolar payout
100.0¢
Federico Bondioli payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:41 trades$54.5K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1419 min agoofficial metadata 992 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Federico Bondioli · $1.5K net·4 wallets·$1.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLFederico Bondioli$14.4K@ 100¢·Velin217

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Federico Bondioli. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-26 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Zdenek Kolar and Federico Bondioli in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zdenek Kolar' if Zdenek Kolar advances against Federico Bondioli. This market will resolve to 'Federico Bondioli' if Federico Bondioli advances against Zdenek Kolar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Federico Bondioli UP 8.0pp · near-book depth $404 → $37.7K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Zdenek Kolar; negative values favor Federico Bondioli. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hZdenek Kolar · $0
6hZdenek Kolar · $0
24hZdenek Kolar · $8.7K

Zdenek Kolar price VWAP

Volume-weighted Zdenek Kolar price. Federico Bondioli fills are converted to the complementary Zdenek Kolar probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h3.0¢▼ below by 3.0pp
VWAP 7d3.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Zdenek Kolar price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$8
75¢
$76
70¢
$57
65¢
$18
60¢
$0
55¢
$131
50¢
$426
45¢
$5
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$11
20¢
$156
15¢
$1.5K
10¢
$2.4K
5¢
$5.1K
0¢
← now
$45.4K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLFederico Bondioli$13.8K@ 99.9¢
Velin2170x9a5e…cd58
🐋—about 24 hours ago
SELLFederico Bondioli$14.4K@ 99.9¢
Velin2170x9a5e…cd58
🐋—about 24 hours ago
BUYFederico Bondioli$11.5K@ 97.7¢
Velin2170x9a5e…cd58
🐋—about 24 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Velin217Federico Bondioli$11.5K
BUY VWAP 97.7¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.