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Florence: Michele Ribecai vs Jacopo Vasami

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $46.6KEvent: Florence: Michele Ribecai vs Jacopo Vasami
60.5¢
Michele Ribecai
39.5¢
Jacopo Vasami
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection49Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets80Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution49Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority67Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 69%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:49 trades$7.1K trackedsource coverage 15%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 8 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jacopo Vasami · $804 net·6 wallets·$999 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMichele Ribecai$2.1K@ 67¢·BaltazarGombka

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Michele Ribecai SETUP
What the tape says

Michele Ribecai pressure: $3.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$3.5K
6h
+$4.4K
tracked
$7.1K

6 verified profitable wallets: Jacopo Vasami · $804 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 69% · priority 67

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Michele Ribecai or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-26 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Michele Ribecai and Jacopo Vasami in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michele Ribecai' if Michele Ribecai advances against Jacopo Vasami. This market will resolve to 'Jacopo Vasami' if Jacopo Vasami advances against Michele Ribecai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Jacopo Vasami DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $5.8K → $282 · 27s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Michele Ribecai; negative values favor Jacopo Vasami. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMichele Ribecai · $3.5K
6hMichele Ribecai · $4.4K
24hMichele Ribecai · $4.6K

Michele Ribecai price VWAP

Volume-weighted Michele Ribecai price. Jacopo Vasami fills are converted to the complementary Michele Ribecai probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current60.5¢
VWAP 24h66.1¢▼ below by 5.6pp
VWAP 7d66.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Michele Ribecai price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$2.0K
75¢
$0
70¢
$1.0K
65¢
$2.1K
60¢
← now
$551
55¢
$188
50¢
$11
45¢
$5
40¢
$1.0K
35¢
$208
30¢
$22
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set 2 Winner: Michele Ribecai vs Jacopo Vasami
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ribecai vs. Vasami: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Michele Ribecai (-1.5) vs Jacopo Vasami (+1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ribecai vs. Vasami: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ribecai vs. Vasami: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Michele Ribecai vs. Jacopo Vasami: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ribecai vs. Vasami: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ribecai vs. Vasami: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.