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Lisbon: Joao Domingues vs Ivan Gakhov

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $268.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.0MEvent: Lisbon: Joao Domingues vs Ivan Gakhov
100.0¢
Joao Domingues
0.1¢
Ivan Gakhov
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets87Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 64%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:96 trades$579.6K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 57%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 65 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ivan Gakhov · $34.2K net·10 wallets·$39.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLJoao Domingues$310.6K@ 99¢·kdvlklkvlsklkfs

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$295.7K
tracked
$579.6K

10 verified profitable wallets: Ivan Gakhov · $34.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 64% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +18.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 65 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 18.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-25 11:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Domingues and Ivan Gakhov in the Lisbon, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joao Domingues' if Joao Domingues advances against Ivan Gakhov. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Gakhov' if Ivan Gakhov advances against Joao Domingues. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Joao Domingues@ 82.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Joao Domingues2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Joao Domingues@ 52.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +17.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Joao Domingues2h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Ivan Gakhov DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $131 → $164 · 43s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Joao Domingues; negative values favor Ivan Gakhov. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJoao Domingues · $0
6hIvan Gakhov · $295.7K
24hIvan Gakhov · $295.7K

Joao Domingues price VWAP

Volume-weighted Joao Domingues price. Ivan Gakhov fills are converted to the complementary Joao Domingues probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h79.7¢▲ above by 20.3pp
VWAP 7d79.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Joao Domingues price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$387.2K
90¢
$0
85¢
$19.1K
80¢
$4.8K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$3.9K
60¢
$4.6K
55¢
$3.0K
50¢
$4.7K
45¢
$6.7K
40¢
$0
35¢
$41.2K
30¢
$42.7K
25¢
$50.9K
20¢
$10.8K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLJoao Domingues$310.6K@ 99.0¢
kdvlklkvlsklkfs0xcfe8…3a6c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLJoao Domingues$70.1K@ 99.0¢
Grigoralep0x16a5…0ea5
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYJoao Domingues$12.7K@ 87.5¢
kdvlklkvlsklkfs0xcfe8…3a6c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYJoao Domingues$12.9K@ 25.8¢
kdvlklkvlsklkfs0xcfe8…3a6c
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYJoao Domingues$10.7K@ 27.5¢
kdvlklkvlsklkfs0xcfe8…3a6c
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYJoao Domingues$20.8K@ 32.0¢
kdvlklkvlsklkfs0xcfe8…3a6c
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Domingues vs. Gakhov: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Domingues vs. Gakhov: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Domingues vs. Gakhov: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Domingues vs. Gakhov: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Joao Domingues vs. Ivan Gakhov: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Joao Domingues vs Ivan Gakhov
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Domingues vs. Gakhov: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Domingues vs. Gakhov: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kdvlklkvlsklkfsJoao Domingues$92.8K
BUY VWAP 35.2¢·11 fills
0x4439…238dJoao Domingues$25.0K
BUY VWAP 36.1¢·8 fills
GrigoralepJoao Domingues$17.8K
BUY VWAP 25.1¢·3 fills
UpTheBluesIvan Gakhov$16.1K
BUY VWAP 64.1¢·12 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.