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Set Handicap: Brandon Nakashima (-1.5) vs Hamad Medjedovic (+1.5)

Sports→TennisSettlement: Hamad Medjedovic.Liquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $7.0KEvent: Lyon Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Brandon Nakashima
0.0¢
Brandon Nakashima payout
100.0¢
Hamad Medjedovic. payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:3 trades$272 trackedsource coverage 4%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 111 min agoofficial metadata 65 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBrandon Nakashima$1.0K@ 49¢·Carlos10

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Hamad Medjedovic.. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-26 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Brandon Nakashima" if Brandon Nakashima wins by 2 or more sets than Hamad Medjedovic, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Hamad Medjedovic."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Brandon Nakashima can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Hamad Medjedovic."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Hamad Medjedovic in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Brandon Nakashima" if Brandon Nakashima wins by 2 or more sets than Hamad Medjedovic, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Hamad Medjedovic." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Brandon Nakashima can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Hamad Medjedovic." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 1h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 1h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x30f6…004f2 linked markets · $184 gross
0xc470…c7922 linked markets · $47 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Brandon Nakashima; negative values favor Hamad Medjedovic.. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBrandon Nakashima · $170
6hBrandon Nakashima · $172
24hBrandon Nakashima · $272

Brandon Nakashima price VWAP

Volume-weighted Brandon Nakashima price. Hamad Medjedovic. fills are converted to the complementary Brandon Nakashima probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h61.0¢▼ below by 61.0pp
VWAP 7d51.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Brandon Nakashima price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$170
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$19
45¢
$1.3K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.