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Santa Cruz 2: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Hugo Dellien

● quote 41s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $99.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $268.3KEvent: Santa Cruz 2: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Hugo Dellien
100.0¢
Thiago Seyboth Wild
0.1¢
Hugo Dellien
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets99Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:91 trades$90.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 28 min agoofficial metadata 23s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Thiago Seyboth Wild · $19.2K net·6 wallets·$19.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLHugo Dellien$30.7K@ 60¢·robustmst

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Thiago Seyboth Wild pressure: $5.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$5.9K
6h
+$20.5K
tracked
$90.3K

6 verified profitable wallets: Thiago Seyboth Wild · $19.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +60.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 28 minutes old.
  • •Executable SELL price moved 60.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Thiago Seyboth Wild or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-25 20:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Seyboth Wild and Hugo Dellien in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Seyboth Wild' if Thiago Seyboth Wild advances against Hugo Dellien. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Dellien' if Hugo Dellien advances against Thiago Seyboth Wild. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASESELL Hugo Dellien1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWSELL Hugo Dellien@ 60.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +44.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Hugo Dellien@ 58.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -55.9pp
MARKET SWEEPBUY Hugo Dellien@ 57.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp1h INVALIDATED -54.9pp
Latest book event: Hugo Dellien DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $144 → $6.9K · 8s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Thiago Seyboth Wild; negative values favor Hugo Dellien. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hThiago Seyboth Wild · $5.9K
6hThiago Seyboth Wild · $20.5K
24hThiago Seyboth Wild · $19.3K

Thiago Seyboth Wild price VWAP

Volume-weighted Thiago Seyboth Wild price. Hugo Dellien fills are converted to the complementary Thiago Seyboth Wild probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h58.6¢▲ above by 41.3pp
VWAP 7d58.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Thiago Seyboth Wild price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$14.0K
90¢
$1
85¢
$5.1K
80¢
$3.7K
75¢
$129
70¢
$0
65¢
$7
60¢
$611
55¢
$25.7K
50¢
$936
45¢
$150
40¢
$9.2K
35¢
$30.7K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLHugo Dellien$30.7K@ 60.3¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYHugo Dellien$10.4K@ 44.4¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Thiago Seyboth Wild (-2.5) vs Hugo Dellien (+2.5)
0.0¢$2.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Wild vs. Dellien: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$69priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Wild vs. Dellien: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢$30priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Wild vs. Dellien: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Thiago Seyboth Wild vs. Hugo Dellien: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Wild vs. Dellien: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Hugo Dellien
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Wild vs. Dellien: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

robustmstHugo Dellien$21.4K
BUY VWAP 42.6¢·3 fills
UpTheBluesThiago Seyboth Wild$11.3K
BUY VWAP 90.2¢·10 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.