PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Cali: Hernan Casanova vs Gonzalo Bueno

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $35.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $222.9KEvent: Cali: Hernan Casanova vs Gonzalo Bueno
9.5¢
Hernan Casanova
90.5¢
Gonzalo Bueno
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets14Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution74Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority42Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:129 trades$101.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Hernan Casanova · $4.0K net·14 wallets·$29.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGonzalo Bueno$20.0K@ 64¢·1234162

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Hernan Casanova pressure: $3.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$3.6K
6h
+$1.5K
tracked
$101.2K

14 verified profitable wallets: Hernan Casanova · $4.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 42

Since latest large flow: -39.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Hernan Casanova or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-26 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hernan Casanova and Gonzalo Bueno in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hernan Casanova' if Hernan Casanova advances against Gonzalo Bueno. This market will resolve to 'Gonzalo Bueno' if Gonzalo Bueno advances against Hernan Casanova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xd9c9…66862 linked markets · $2 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Hernan Casanova1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Hernan Casanova@ 49.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +17.0pp1h INVALIDATED -32.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Gonzalo Bueno1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Gonzalo Bueno@ 51.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -19.0pp1h CONFIRMED +11.0pp
Latest book event: Hernan Casanova DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $1.7K → $1.5K · 37s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Hernan Casanova; negative values favor Gonzalo Bueno. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHernan Casanova · $3.6K
6hHernan Casanova · $1.5K
24hHernan Casanova · $1.5K

Hernan Casanova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Hernan Casanova price. Gonzalo Bueno fills are converted to the complementary Hernan Casanova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current9.5¢
VWAP 24h42.2¢▼ below by 32.7pp
VWAP 7d42.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Hernan Casanova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.5K
60¢
$14.5K
55¢
$1.9K
50¢
$3.4K
45¢
$26.2K
40¢
$3.4K
35¢
$28.0K
30¢
$10.9K
25¢
$1.1K
20¢
$5.7K
15¢
$2.9K
10¢
$0
5¢
← now
$1.4K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHernan Casanova$10.0K@ 48.0¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHernan Casanova$10.0K@ 48.0¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGonzalo Bueno$20.0K@ 64.1¢
12341620x45e4…3c69
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Casanova vs. Bueno: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$38priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Casanova vs. Bueno: Match O/U 22.5
53.5¢$14priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Casanova vs. Bueno: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Casanova vs. Bueno: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Casanova vs. Bueno: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Casanova vs. Bueno: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hernan Casanova vs. Gonzalo Bueno: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Hernan Casanova vs Gonzalo Bueno
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

robustmstHernan Casanova$20.0K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·2 fills
1234162Gonzalo Bueno$20.0K
BUY VWAP 64.1¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.