PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Cali: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Miguel Tobon

● quote 12s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 5 daysLiquidity: $98.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $90.8KEvent: Cali: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Miguel Tobon
0.1¢
Gonzalo Villanueva
100.0¢
Miguel Tobon
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection14Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets88Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 70%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:80 trades$17.9K trackedsource coverage 20%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 15 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Miguel Tobon · $2.2K net·8 wallets·$2.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGonzalo Villanueva$3.0K@ 53¢·0x54ba…04e4

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Miguel Tobon pressure: $2.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.4K
6h
−$3.8K
tracked
$17.9K

8 verified profitable wallets: Miguel Tobon · $2.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 70% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 15 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Miguel Tobon or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-26 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Gonzalo Villanueva and Miguel Tobon in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gonzalo Villanueva' if Gonzalo Villanueva advances against Miguel Tobon. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Tobon' if Miguel Tobon advances against Gonzalo Villanueva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Miguel Tobon UP 6.5pp · near-book depth $1.8K → $23.8K · 47s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Gonzalo Villanueva; negative values favor Miguel Tobon. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMiguel Tobon · $2.4K
6hMiguel Tobon · $3.8K
24hMiguel Tobon · $3.8K

Gonzalo Villanueva price VWAP

Volume-weighted Gonzalo Villanueva price. Miguel Tobon fills are converted to the complementary Gonzalo Villanueva probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h31.8¢▼ below by 31.8pp
VWAP 7d32.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Gonzalo Villanueva price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$2.2K
55¢
$640
50¢
$4.4K
45¢
$1.5K
40¢
$324
35¢
$32
30¢
$265
25¢
$1.6K
20¢
$1.4K
15¢
$0
10¢
$35
5¢
$471
0¢
← now
$5.1K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Villanueva vs. Tobon: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Villanueva vs. Tobon: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Villanueva vs. Tobon: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?
46.5¢$684.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$433.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lyon Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Kyrian Jacquet
0.0¢$429.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lyon Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Brandon Nakashima
0.0¢$370.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4.5¢$335.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.