Set Handicap: Errani/Paolini (-1.5) vs Bucsa/Melichar (+1.5)
Decision read
Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.
No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 25% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
- •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
- •Only 0 tracked trades / 0 wallets in the 24h sample.
- •BUY/SELL is known for 0% of tracked volume.
- •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.
Resolution & market truth
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
•This market will resolve to "Errani/Paolini" if Errani/Paolini wins by 2 or more sets than Bucsa/Melichar, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Bucsa/Melichar."
•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Errani/Paolini can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Bucsa/Melichar."
Read full resolution rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Errani/Paolini and Bucsa/Melichar in the Ningbo Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Errani/Paolini" if Errani/Paolini wins by 2 or more sets than Bucsa/Melichar, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Bucsa/Melichar." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Errani/Paolini can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Bucsa/Melichar." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
Evidence receipts
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Largest holders
Observed net position building
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Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.