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Guangzhou: Max Purcell vs Evan Zhu

Sports→TennisSettlement: Max PurcellLiquidity: $60.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $52.1KEvent: Guangzhou: Max Purcell vs Evan Zhu
100.0¢
Max Purcell payout
0.0¢
Evan Zhu payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:16 trades$6.9K trackedsource coverage 13%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 154 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Evan Zhu · $1.1K net·3 wallets·$5.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMax Purcell$2.1K@ 89¢·UpTheBlues

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Max Purcell. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-26 05:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Max Purcell and Evan Zhu in the Guangzhou, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 1:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Purcell' if Max Purcell advances against Evan Zhu. This market will resolve to 'Evan Zhu' if Evan Zhu advances against Max Purcell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Evan Zhu DOWN 7.0pp · near-book depth $3.6K → $3 · 93s
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Max Purcell; negative values favor Evan Zhu. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEvan Zhu · $1.8K
6hEvan Zhu · $2.2K
24hEvan Zhu · $2.2K

Max Purcell price VWAP

Volume-weighted Max Purcell price. Evan Zhu fills are converted to the complementary Max Purcell probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h91.9¢▲ above by 8.1pp
VWAP 7d91.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Max Purcell price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.8K
90¢
$2.8K
85¢
$2.1K
80¢
$8
75¢
$262
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Max Purcell (-1.5) vs Evan Zhu (+1.5)
0.0¢$10priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Purcell vs. Zhu: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Purcell vs. Zhu: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Max Purcell vs. Evan Zhu: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Max Purcell vs Evan Zhu
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Purcell vs. Zhu: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Evan Zhu (-1.5) vs Max Purcell (+1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Purcell vs. Zhu: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.