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Spread: Criciúma EC (-3.5)

● quote 180 min ago
Sports→Closes: 1 dayLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $10Event: Criciúma EC vs. AA Ponte Preta - More Markets

Indicative prices · 180 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

32.0¢
Criciúma EC
68.0¢
AA Ponte Preta
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution56Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:1 trades$57 trackedsource coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 369 min agoofficial metadata 581 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$57

1 verified profitable wallet: AA Ponte Preta · $57 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 180 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 369 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 581 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-30 22:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-b
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Criciúma EC" if Criciúma EC win the game by 4 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "AA Ponte Preta".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for October 30 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Criciúma EC" if Criciúma EC win the game by 4 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "AA Ponte Preta". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on cbf.com.br. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Criciúma EC; negative values favor AA Ponte Preta. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCriciúma EC · $0
6hCriciúma EC · $0
24hAA Ponte Preta · $57

Criciúma EC price VWAP

Volume-weighted Criciúma EC price. AA Ponte Preta fills are converted to the complementary Criciúma EC probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current32.0¢
VWAP 24h32.0¢▲ above by 0.0pp
VWAP 7d32.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Criciúma EC price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$57
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Criciúma EC vs. AA Ponte Preta: O/U 6.5
—$1.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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Criciúma EC vs. AA Ponte Preta: O/U 4.5
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Criciúma EC vs. AA Ponte Preta: O/U 5.5
15.0¢$10priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: AA Ponte Preta (-5.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Criciúma EC vs. AA Ponte Preta: O/U 2.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: AA Ponte Preta (-4.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.