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Ningbo Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Han Shi

Sports→TennisSettlement: Sorana CirsteaLiquidity: $562.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $302.4KEvent: Ningbo Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Han Shi
100.0¢
Sorana Cirstea payout
0.0¢
Han Shi payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:143 trades$80.1K trackedsource coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 67 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Sorana Cirstea · $21.7K net·11 wallets·$22.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSorana Cirstea$7.5K@ 80¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Sorana Cirstea. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-26 05:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sorana Cirstea and Han Shi in the Ningbo Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sorana Cirstea' if Sorana Cirstea advances against Han Shi. This market will resolve to 'Han Shi' if Han Shi advances against Sorana Cirstea. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 51m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 51m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $5.9K gross
above982 linked markets · $1.1K gross
0x0182…301c2 linked markets · $193 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Han Shi DOWN 3.5pp · near-book depth $16.7K → $7.4K · 49s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sorana Cirstea; negative values favor Han Shi. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSorana Cirstea · $4.3K
6hSorana Cirstea · $6.9K
24hSorana Cirstea · $6.9K

Sorana Cirstea price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sorana Cirstea price. Han Shi fills are converted to the complementary Sorana Cirstea probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h82.4¢▲ above by 17.6pp
VWAP 7d82.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Sorana Cirstea price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$12.0K
90¢
$11.4K
85¢
$8.0K
80¢
$19.7K
75¢
$6.0K
70¢
$5.3K
65¢
$17.2K
60¢
$423
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Sorana Cirstea (-4.5) vs Han Shi (+4.5)
0.0¢$1.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Sorana Cirstea vs Han Shi
0.0¢$777priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cirstea vs. Shi: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$466priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sorana Cirstea vs. Han Shi: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$378priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cirstea vs. Shi: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cirstea vs. Shi: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cirstea vs. Shi: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cirstea vs. Shi: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

KkunnHan Shi$14.2K
BUY VWAP 22.4¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.