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Set 2 Winner: Yulia Putintseva vs Diana Shnaider

● quote 118 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $6.0KEvent: Ningbo Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Diana Shnaider
34.5¢
Yulia Putintseva
65.5¢
Diana Shnaider
3.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection16Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution49Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 51%
24h sample:8 trades$295 trackedsource coverage 5%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$46
6h
+$138
tracked
$295

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
3.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 51% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 118 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-27 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Yulia Putintseva” if Yulia Putintseva wins set 2. It will resolve to “Diana Shnaider” if Diana Shnaider wins set 2.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yulia Putintseva and Diana Shnaider in the Ningbo Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yulia Putintseva” if Yulia Putintseva wins set 2. It will resolve to “Diana Shnaider” if Diana Shnaider wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $4.4K gross
0xae51…1d032 linked markets · $1.6K gross
0xe907…cff63 linked markets · $234 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yulia Putintseva; negative values favor Diana Shnaider. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYulia Putintseva · $46
6hYulia Putintseva · $138
24hYulia Putintseva · $138

Yulia Putintseva price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yulia Putintseva price. Diana Shnaider fills are converted to the complementary Yulia Putintseva probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current34.5¢
VWAP 24h40.2¢▼ below by 5.7pp
VWAP 7d40.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yulia Putintseva price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$5
85¢
$0
80¢
$87
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$50
30¢
← now
$0
25¢
$58
20¢
$28
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$2
0¢
$64

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.