PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Raptors vs. Timberwolves

● quote 13s ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $489.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $379.4KEvent: Raptors vs. Timberwolves

Indicative prices · 13s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

50.5¢
Raptors
49.5¢
Timberwolves
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly26Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets30Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:90 trades$132.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 17 min agoofficial metadata 24s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Timberwolves · $7.5K net·6 wallets·$24.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTimberwolves$21.3K@ 50¢·monkeymashingkeyboard

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Timberwolves pressure: $1.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.0K
6h
−$14.4K
tracked
$132.9K

6 verified profitable wallets: Timberwolves · $7.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 17 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Timberwolves or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-25 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors".

•If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 25 at 7:00PM ET: If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors". If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Lakersfan1114 linked markets · $63.4K gross
quavoo3 linked markets · $14.7K gross
Greedo2 linked markets · $9.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Timberwolves@ 50.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Raptors; negative values favor Timberwolves. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTimberwolves · $1.0K
6hTimberwolves · $14.4K
24hTimberwolves · $3.2K

Raptors price VWAP

Volume-weighted Raptors price. Timberwolves fills are converted to the complementary Raptors probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.5¢
VWAP 24h49.66¢▲ above by 0.8pp
VWAP 7d49.53¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Raptors price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$106.1K
45¢
$26.7K
40¢
$1.6K
35¢
$227
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYRaptors$13.8K@ 50.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYTimberwolves$21.3K@ 50.0¢
monkeymashingkeyboard0x684b…8409
🐋—about 5 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5
46.0¢$45.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)
47.5¢$39.8Kpriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Raptors (-1.5)
48.0¢$27.8Kpriority70Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
44.5¢$13.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5
55.5¢$9.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Raptors (-14.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 257.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Raptors (-22.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

monkeymashingkeyboardTimberwolves$24.1K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·2 fills
Lakersfan111Raptors$24.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·3 fills
quavooRaptors$11.8K
BUY VWAP 49.06¢·6 fills
BruceWayne77Timberwolves$10.2K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.