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Rostock Seawolves vs. BC Aris Thessaloniki

● quote 184 min ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $5.2KEvent: Rostock Seawolves vs. BC Aris Thessaloniki
5.5¢
Rostock Seawolves
94.5¢
BC Aris Thessaloniki
3.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution49Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:6 trades$464 trackedsource coverage 9%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 212 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Rostock Seawolves · $30 net·2 wallets·$30 gross

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$429
tracked
$464

2 verified profitable wallets: Rostock Seawolves · $30 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
3.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 184 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 212 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-27 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.eurocupbasketball.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Rostock Seawolves win, the market will resolve to "Rostock Seawolves".

•If the BC Aris Thessaloniki win, the market will resolve to "BC Aris Thessaloniki".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming EuroCup game, scheduled for October 20 at 2:00PM ET: If the Rostock Seawolves win, the market will resolve to "Rostock Seawolves". If the BC Aris Thessaloniki win, the market will resolve to "BC Aris Thessaloniki". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Rostock Seawolves; negative values favor BC Aris Thessaloniki. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRostock Seawolves · $0
6hBC Aris Thessaloniki · $429
24hBC Aris Thessaloniki · $398

Rostock Seawolves price VWAP

Volume-weighted Rostock Seawolves price. BC Aris Thessaloniki fills are converted to the complementary Rostock Seawolves probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current5.5¢
VWAP 24h17.2¢▼ below by 11.7pp
VWAP 7d17.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Rostock Seawolves price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$16
15¢
$448
10¢
$1
5¢
← now
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.