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Basquet Manresa vs. BC Roma Spqr

● quote 12s ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $29.1KEvent: Basquet Manresa vs. BC Roma Spqr
100.0¢
Basquet Manresa
0.1¢
BC Roma Spqr
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection26Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets62Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution69Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 70%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:24 trades$6.4K trackedsource coverage 22%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 13 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Basquet Manresa · $41 net·5 wallets·$119 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBC Roma Spqr$2.5K@ 43¢·one8tyfive

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

BC Roma Spqr pressure: $1.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.7K
6h
−$1.2K
tracked
$6.4K

5 verified profitable wallets: Basquet Manresa · $41 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 70% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 13 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from BC Roma Spqr or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-27 18:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.eurocupbasketball.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Basquet Manresa win, the market will resolve to "Basquet Manresa".

•If the BC Roma Spqr win, the market will resolve to "BC Roma Spqr".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming EuroCup game, scheduled for October 20 at 2:30PM ET: If the Basquet Manresa win, the market will resolve to "Basquet Manresa". If the BC Roma Spqr win, the market will resolve to "BC Roma Spqr". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Basquet Manresa UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $2.7K → $5.1K · 113s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Basquet Manresa; negative values favor BC Roma Spqr. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBC Roma Spqr · $1.7K
6hBC Roma Spqr · $1.2K
24hBC Roma Spqr · $2.9K

Basquet Manresa price VWAP

Volume-weighted Basquet Manresa price. BC Roma Spqr fills are converted to the complementary Basquet Manresa probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h69.2¢▲ above by 30.8pp
VWAP 7d68.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Basquet Manresa price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.8K
90¢
$113
85¢
$4
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$17
55¢
$4.3K
50¢
$288
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.