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Jets vs. Chiefs

● quote just now
Sports→American FootballCloses: 1 dayLiquidity: $136.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $18.6KEvent: Jets vs. Chiefs

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

19.5¢
Jets
80.5¢
Chiefs
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection17Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:12 trades$16.9K trackedsource coverage 91%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 14 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChiefs$17.0K@ 81¢·mooseborzoi

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Chiefs pressure: $2.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.8K
6h
−$2.8K
tracked
$16.9K

1 verified profitable wallet: Chiefs · $527 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 88% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 14 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Chiefs or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-08 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Jets" if Jets win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Chiefs" if Chiefs win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Jets and Chiefs, scheduled for November 8 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Jets" if Jets win the game. This market will resolve to "Chiefs" if Chiefs win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi3 linked markets · $18.4K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $16.7K gross
takeormake2 linked markets · $8.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Chiefs@ 81.0¢2d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp24h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jets; negative values favor Chiefs. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChiefs · $2.8K
6hChiefs · $2.8K
24hChiefs · $16.9K

Jets price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jets price. Chiefs fills are converted to the complementary Jets probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current19.5¢
VWAP 24h19.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d19.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jets price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$16
15¢
← now
$33.9K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYChiefs$17.0K@ 81.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—2 days ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
49.5¢$9.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)
—$3.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
71.5¢$718priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jets vs. Chiefs: O/U 46.5
—$235priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Jets (-7.5)
—$221priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)
—$172priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jets vs. Chiefs: O/U 48.5
—$85priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)
—$29priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

mooseborzoiChiefs$17.0K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·1 fill
0x190e…b11aChiefs$12.1K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.