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Lions vs. Dolphins

● quote 508 min ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 16 hoursLiquidity: $111.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $9.2KEvent: Lions vs. Dolphins

Indicative prices · 508 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

73.5¢
Lions
26.5¢
Dolphins
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 50%
24h sample:1 trades$2 trackedsource coverage 0%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 526 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLions$36.3K@ 75¢·xifutloong3

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$2

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 50% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Tracked source coverage is only 0%.
  • •Executable quote is 508 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 526 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-08 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Lions" if Lions win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Dolphins" if Dolphins win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Lions and Dolphins, scheduled for November 8 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Lions" if Lions win the game. This market will resolve to "Dolphins" if Dolphins win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Lions@ 75.0¢2d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp24h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lions; negative values favor Dolphins. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLions · $0
6hLions · $0
24hLions · $2

Lions price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lions price. Dolphins fills are converted to the complementary Lions probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current73.5¢
VWAP 24h74.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d74.96¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Lions price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$59.5K
70¢
← now
$1.1K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLions$22.8K@ 75.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—2 days ago
BUYLions$36.3K@ 75.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—2 days ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Dolphins (-3.5)
16.5¢$55.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Lions (-6.5)
—$3.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Lions (-7.5)
—$2.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 50.5
—$165priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Lions (-9.5)
—$149priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 52.5
—$100priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Lions (-14.5)
—$54priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 60.5
—$4priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xifutloong3Lions$59.1K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.