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Oilers vs. Flyers

● quote 10s ago
Sports→HockeyCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $235.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $73.8KEvent: Oilers vs. Flyers

Indicative prices · 10s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

57.5¢
Oilers
42.5¢
Flyers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection30Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:42 trades$35.4K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 12 min agoofficial metadata 10s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Flyers · $12.3K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$12.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOilers$14.6K@ 58¢·Libratus007

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Flyers pressure: $10.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$10.6K
6h
−$5.2K
tracked
$35.4K

3 verified profitable wallets: Flyers · $12.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 12 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Flyers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-16 00:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Oilers win, the market will resolve to "Oilers".

•If the Flyers win, the market will resolve to "Flyers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for November 15 at 7:30PM ET: If the Oilers win, the market will resolve to "Oilers". If the Flyers win, the market will resolve to "Flyers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Libratus0072 linked markets · $28.2K gross
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh2 linked markets · $17.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Oilers; negative values favor Flyers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFlyers · $10.6K
6hFlyers · $5.2K
24hOilers · $10.7K

Oilers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Oilers price. Flyers fills are converted to the complementary Oilers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current57.5¢
VWAP 24h57.65¢▼ below by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d57.65¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Oilers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$35.4K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFlyers$10.6K@ 43.0¢
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh0x0d6a…aa98
🐋—12 minutes ago
BUYOilers$14.6K@ 58.0¢
Libratus0070x3c66…0491
🐋—about 6 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Oilers (-1.5)
34.5¢$21.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Oilers vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Oilers vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Flyers (-3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Oilers (-2.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Oilers vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Oilers vs. Flyers: O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Oilers vs. Flyers: O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Libratus007Oilers$21.2K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·2 fills
keeptheblueflagflyinghighFlyers$10.6K
BUY VWAP 43.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.