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Florence: Felix Gill vs Filip Misolic

● quote 64 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $52.6KEvent: Florence: Felix Gill vs Filip Misolic
0.1¢
Felix Gill
99.9¢
Filip Misolic
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets89Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:60 trades$11.1K trackedsource coverage 21%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 98 min agoofficial metadata 67 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Filip Misolic · $123 net·7 wallets·$139 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFilip Misolic$3.6K@ 61¢·UpTheBlues

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$10.8K
tracked
$11.1K

7 verified profitable wallets: Filip Misolic · $123 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 64 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 98 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 67 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-27 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Felix Gill and Filip Misolic in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felix Gill' if Felix Gill advances against Filip Misolic. This market will resolve to 'Filip Misolic' if Filip Misolic advances against Felix Gill. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Felix Gill DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $766 → $8.6K · 36s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Felix Gill; negative values favor Filip Misolic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFelix Gill · $0
6hFilip Misolic · $10.8K
24hFilip Misolic · $10.9K

Felix Gill price VWAP

Volume-weighted Felix Gill price. Filip Misolic fills are converted to the complementary Felix Gill probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h43.3¢▼ below by 43.2pp
VWAP 7d43.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Felix Gill price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.0K
50¢
$2.5K
45¢
$1.2K
40¢
$2.1K
35¢
$3.6K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$234
15¢
$322
10¢
$17
5¢
$7
0¢
← now
$1

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Gill vs. Misolic: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Felix Gill vs Filip Misolic
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Filip Misolic (-1.5) vs Felix Gill (+1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Gill vs. Misolic: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Felix Gill vs. Filip Misolic: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Gill vs. Misolic: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Gill vs. Misolic: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Gill vs. Misolic: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesFilip Misolic$10.8K
BUY VWAP 55.6¢·14 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.