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Florence: Yanaki Milev vs Lorenzo Giustino

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $17.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $90.2KEvent: Florence: Yanaki Milev vs Lorenzo Giustino
67.0¢
Yanaki Milev
33.0¢
Lorenzo Giustino
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution69Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:45 trades$27.7K trackedsource coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 245 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Yanaki Milev · $18.7K net·6 wallets·$18.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYanaki Milev$9.5K@ 67¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$1.6K
tracked
$27.7K

6 verified profitable wallets: Yanaki Milev · $18.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 245 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-27 13:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yanaki Milev and Lorenzo Giustino in the Florence, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yanaki Milev' if Yanaki Milev advances against Lorenzo Giustino. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Giustino' if Lorenzo Giustino advances against Yanaki Milev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Lorenzo Giustino UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $18.1K → $36.3K · 27s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yanaki Milev; negative values favor Lorenzo Giustino. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYanaki Milev · $0
6hYanaki Milev · $1.6K
24hYanaki Milev · $17.3K

Yanaki Milev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yanaki Milev price. Lorenzo Giustino fills are converted to the complementary Yanaki Milev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current67.0¢
VWAP 24h62.8¢▲ above by 4.2pp
VWAP 7d62.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yanaki Milev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$2.6K
70¢
$44
65¢
← now
$12.5K
60¢
$5.1K
55¢
$5.0K
50¢
$294
45¢
$0
40¢
$2.2K
35¢
$30
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Milev vs. Giustino: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢$10priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Milev vs. Giustino: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$7priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Milev vs. Giustino: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Milev vs. Giustino: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Milev vs. Giustino: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Yanaki Milev vs. Lorenzo Giustino: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Milev vs. Giustino: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Lorenzo Giustino (-1.5) vs Yanaki Milev (+1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.