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Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Closed Qualifier Playoffs

● quote 11s ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $296.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $158.0KEvent: Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Closed Qualifier Playoffs
100.0¢
Betclic Apogee Esports
0.1¢
Team Nemesis
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:61 trades$57.6K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 13 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Betclic Apogee Esports · $155 net·3 wallets·$232 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Nemesis$29.7K@ 66¢·skyman44

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Team Nemesis pressure: $3.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$3.4K
6h
−$9.1K
tracked
$57.6K

3 verified profitable wallets: Betclic Apogee Esports · $155 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 13 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Nemesis or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-20 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Betclic Apogee Esports" if Betclic Apogee Esports win the match against Team Nemesis.

•This market will resolve to "Team Nemesis" if Team Nemesis win the match against Betclic Apogee Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket final match between Betclic Apogee Esports and Team Nemesis in the PGL Bucharest Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Betclic Apogee Esports" if Betclic Apogee Esports win the match against Team Nemesis. This market will resolve to "Team Nemesis" if Team Nemesis win the match against Betclic Apogee Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
iii2522 linked markets · $4.4K gross
aaaa2982 linked markets · $696 gross
jackccstream2 linked markets · $50 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Team Nemesis@ 66.0¢9h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp
Latest book event: Team Nemesis DOWN 6.5pp · near-book depth $503 → $153 · 6s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Betclic Apogee Esports; negative values favor Team Nemesis. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Nemesis · $3.4K
6hTeam Nemesis · $9.1K
24hTeam Nemesis · $52.7K

Betclic Apogee Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted Betclic Apogee Esports price. Team Nemesis fills are converted to the complementary Betclic Apogee Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h41.9¢▲ above by 58.1pp
VWAP 7d41.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Betclic Apogee Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$5.6K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$1.7K
75¢
$35
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$15
55¢
$234
50¢
$213
45¢
$0
40¢
$60
35¢
$126
30¢
$49.6K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTeam Nemesis$29.7K@ 66.0¢
skyman440x30c7…ac3b
🐋—about 10 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winner
100.0¢$53.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+1.5)
34.5¢$1.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
47.0¢$379priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
0.0¢$53priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: BCA (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)
0.0¢$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Betclic Apogee Esports (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

skyman44Team Nemesis$29.7K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.