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Counter-Strike: Liquid vs magic - Map 2 Winner

● quote 44 min ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $344.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $293.0KEvent: Counter-Strike: Liquid vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs
0.1¢
Liquid
99.9¢
magic
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly80Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:106 trades$93.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 50 min agoofficial metadata 44 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Liquid · $9.9K net·4 wallets·$9.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLmagic$14.5K@ 100¢·Iostfd

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Liquid pressure: $2.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.2K
6h
−$12.3K
tracked
$93.2K

4 verified profitable wallets: Liquid · $9.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +49.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 44 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 50 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 44 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Liquid or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-20 17:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win Map 2 against magic.

•This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 2 against Liquid.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Round 1 match between Liquid and magic in the 1win Private Club Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win Map 2 against magic. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 2 against Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 20, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 3h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
lllllllIlll2 linked markets · $55.8K gross
RN13 linked markets · $30.0K gross
aaaa2983 linked markets · $12.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY magic2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY magic@ 51.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -26.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Liquid DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $63 → $325 · 6s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Liquid; negative values favor magic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLiquid · $2.2K
6hmagic · $12.3K
24hmagic · $12.3K

Liquid price VWAP

Volume-weighted Liquid price. magic fills are converted to the complementary Liquid probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h41.5¢▼ below by 41.4pp
VWAP 7d41.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Liquid price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$66
90¢
$2
85¢
$4.5K
80¢
$303
75¢
$1.2K
70¢
$48
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$45
50¢
$24.4K
45¢
$40.3K
40¢
$3.9K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$1.2K
5¢
$596
0¢
← now
$16.7K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLmagic$14.5K@ 99.9¢
Iostfd0xddc3…029c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYmagic$12.2K@ 49.2¢
lllllllIlll0xe40e…9770
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)
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Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-9.5) vs magic (+9.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

lllllllIlllmagic$31.6K
BUY VWAP 49.9¢·8 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.