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Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SAW - Map 2 Winner

● quote 91 min ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: 9 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $29.6KEvent: Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SAW (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
99.9¢
Sinners
13.0¢
SAW
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:36 trades$6.5K trackedsource coverage 22%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 150 min agoofficial metadata 93 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:SAW · $350 net·6 wallets·$523 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLSinners$3.0K@ 100¢·aaaa298

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$5.5K
tracked
$6.5K

6 verified profitable wallets: SAW · $350 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 91 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 150 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 93 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-20 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Sinners" if Sinners win Map 2 against SAW.

•This market will resolve to "SAW" if SAW win Map 2 against Sinners.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 1 match between Sinners and SAW in the DraculaN Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Sinners" if Sinners win Map 2 against SAW. This market will resolve to "SAW" if SAW win Map 2 against Sinners. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
aaaa2983 linked markets · $9.6K gross
iii2522 linked markets · $3.8K gross
Absing2 linked markets · $290 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Sinners UP 8.5pp · near-book depth $117 → $849 · 16s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sinners; negative values favor SAW. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSinners · $0
6hSAW · $5.5K
24hSAW · $5.5K

Sinners price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sinners price. SAW fills are converted to the complementary Sinners probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h94.6¢▲ above by 5.3pp
VWAP 7d94.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Sinners price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$5.5K
90¢
$12
85¢
$41
80¢
$12
75¢
$0
70¢
$203
65¢
$224
60¢
$201
55¢
$7
50¢
$272
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SAW (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
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Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sinners (-3.5) vs SAW (+3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: SAW (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
49.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
55.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Sinners (-9.5) vs SAW (+9.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.