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Spread: Utah State (-6.5)

Sports→American FootballCloses: 1 dayLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $4.3KEvent: Colorado State vs. Utah State

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Utah State
—
Colorado State
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:1 trades$2.2K trackedsource coverage 52%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 698 min agoofficial metadata 350 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUtah State$3.3K@ 52¢·0xb4f9…c9a7

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$2.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: Utah State · $5.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-31 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Utah State" if Utah State win the game by 7 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Colorado State".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 31 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Utah State" if Utah State win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Colorado State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Utah State; negative values favor Colorado State. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUtah State · $0
6hUtah State · $0
24hUtah State · $2.2K

Utah State price VWAP

Volume-weighted Utah State price. Colorado State fills are converted to the complementary Utah State probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h52.98¢
VWAP 7d52.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Utah State price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$5.5K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Colorado State vs. Utah State: O/U 63.5
—$1.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Colorado State vs. Utah State: O/U 61.5
—$512priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Utah State (-4.5)
—$29priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Colorado State vs. Utah State
—$27priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Colorado State (-1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Colorado State (-6.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Utah State (-0.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Colorado State (-17.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.