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Cali: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Franco Ribero

● quote 139 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $23.7KEvent: Cali: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Franco Ribero
99.9¢
Carlos Maria Zarate
1.9¢
Franco Ribero
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets12Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:28 trades$4.8K trackedsource coverage 20%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 185 min agoofficial metadata 144 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Carlos Maria Zarate · $18 net·5 wallets·$152 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCarlos Maria Zarate$2.0K@ 96¢·UpTheBlues

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$4.2K
tracked
$4.8K

5 verified profitable wallets: Carlos Maria Zarate · $18 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 139 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 185 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 144 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-27 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Maria Zarate and Franco Ribero in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Maria Zarate' if Carlos Maria Zarate advances against Franco Ribero. This market will resolve to 'Franco Ribero' if Franco Ribero advances against Carlos Maria Zarate. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Carlos Maria Zarate; negative values favor Franco Ribero. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCarlos Maria Zarate · $0
6hCarlos Maria Zarate · $4.2K
24hCarlos Maria Zarate · $4.3K

Carlos Maria Zarate price VWAP

Volume-weighted Carlos Maria Zarate price. Franco Ribero fills are converted to the complementary Carlos Maria Zarate probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h95.3¢▲ above by 4.6pp
VWAP 7d95.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Carlos Maria Zarate price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$4.1K
90¢
$386
85¢
$286
80¢
$29
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$3
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Carlos Maria Zarate (-1.5) vs Franco Ribero (+1.5)
0.0¢$338priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Carlos Maria Zarate (-4.5) vs Franco Ribero (+4.5)
0.0¢$16priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zarate vs. Ribero: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zarate vs. Ribero: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Franco Ribero
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zarate vs. Ribero: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zarate vs. Ribero: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zarate vs. Ribero: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.