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Fort Worth: Andres Martin vs Erik Arutiunian

● quote 99 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $89.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $99.0KEvent: Fort Worth: Andres Martin vs Erik Arutiunian
0.4¢
Andres Martin
99.9¢
Erik Arutiunian
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets12Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution28Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:102 trades$24.1K trackedsource coverage 24%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 121 min agoofficial metadata 103 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Erik Arutiunian · $388 net·12 wallets·$3.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYErik Arutiunian$2.6K@ 85¢·tennis-loser

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$3.5K
tracked
$24.1K

12 verified profitable wallets: Erik Arutiunian · $388 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 99 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 121 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 103 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-27 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Andres Martin and Erik Arutiunian in the Fort Worth, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andres Martin' if Andres Martin advances against Erik Arutiunian. This market will resolve to 'Erik Arutiunian' if Erik Arutiunian advances against Andres Martin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Andres Martin DOWN 5.6pp · near-book depth $204 → $4 · 11s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Andres Martin; negative values favor Erik Arutiunian. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAndres Martin · $0
6hAndres Martin · $3.5K
24hAndres Martin · $3.5K

Andres Martin price VWAP

Volume-weighted Andres Martin price. Erik Arutiunian fills are converted to the complementary Andres Martin probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.4¢
VWAP 24h31.5¢▼ below by 31.1pp
VWAP 7d31.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Andres Martin price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$1.7K
90¢
$228
85¢
$112
80¢
$625
75¢
$28
70¢
$0
65¢
$224
60¢
$3.1K
55¢
$1.5K
50¢
$4
45¢
$125
40¢
$9
35¢
$1.2K
30¢
$23
25¢
$3.1K
20¢
$2.3K
15¢
$151
10¢
$2.6K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$7.2K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.