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Counter-Strike: Envy vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs

● quote 60 min ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $36.0KEvent: Counter-Strike: Envy vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
5.0¢
Envy
99.9¢
BASEMENT BOYS
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets94Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:41 trades$5.7K trackedsource coverage 16%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 109 min agoofficial metadata 62 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:BASEMENT BOYS · $1.8K net·6 wallets·$1.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYEnvy$1.5K@ 52¢·Iostfd

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$1.0K
tracked
$5.7K

6 verified profitable wallets: BASEMENT BOYS · $1.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 60 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 109 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 62 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-20 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Envy" if Envy win the match against BASEMENT BOYS.

•This market will resolve to "BASEMENT BOYS" if BASEMENT BOYS win the match against Envy.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 1 match between Envy and BASEMENT BOYS in the DraculaN Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Envy" if Envy win the match against BASEMENT BOYS. This market will resolve to "BASEMENT BOYS" if BASEMENT BOYS win the match against Envy. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Donkoo2 linked markets · $1.5K gross
Absing2 linked markets · $721 gross
0xcc96…d9162 linked markets · $484 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Envy DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $1 → $1 · 80s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Envy; negative values favor BASEMENT BOYS. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEnvy · $0
6hEnvy · $1.0K
24hEnvy · $1.0K

Envy price VWAP

Volume-weighted Envy price. BASEMENT BOYS fills are converted to the complementary Envy probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current5.0¢
VWAP 24h34.4¢▼ below by 29.4pp
VWAP 7d34.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Envy price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$46
75¢
$36
70¢
$8
65¢
$12
60¢
$0
55¢
$35
50¢
$3.0K
45¢
$4
40¢
$384
35¢
$176
30¢
$79
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
← now
$0
0¢
$1.9K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Map Handicap: ENVY (-1.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+1.5)
0.0¢$14.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Envy vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 2 Winner
0.0¢$14.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
0.0¢$875priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Envy (-3.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+3.5)
0.0¢$332priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: BMB (-1.5) vs Envy (+1.5)
0.0¢$150priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
0.0¢$131priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BASEMENT BOYS (-3.5) vs Envy (+3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Envy (-3.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.