PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Guangzhou 2: Jay Dylan Friend vs James McCabe

● quote 33 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $69.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $185.9KEvent: Guangzhou 2: Jay Dylan Friend vs James McCabe
99.9¢
Jay Dylan Friend
1.0¢
James McCabe
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly1Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets46Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution25Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 16 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:131 trades$44.5K trackedsource coverage 24%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 61 min agoofficial metadata 37 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:James McCabe · $5.2K net·16 wallets·$11.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJay Dylan Friend$5.0K@ 72¢·Anarion

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$13
6h
−$2.1K
tracked
$44.5K

16 verified profitable wallets: James McCabe · $5.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 33 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 61 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 37 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-28 04:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jay Dylan Friend and James McCabe in the Guangzhou 2, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jay Dylan Friend' if Jay Dylan Friend advances against James McCabe. This market will resolve to 'James McCabe' if James McCabe advances against Jay Dylan Friend. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: James McCabe DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $373 → $109 · 9s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jay Dylan Friend; negative values favor James McCabe. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJames McCabe · $13
6hJames McCabe · $2.1K
24hJames McCabe · $2.0K

Jay Dylan Friend price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jay Dylan Friend price. James McCabe fills are converted to the complementary Jay Dylan Friend probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h68.8¢▲ above by 31.1pp
VWAP 7d68.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Jay Dylan Friend price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$13.1K
90¢
$2.1K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$5.6K
65¢
$7.8K
60¢
$1.8K
55¢
$3.7K
50¢
$155
45¢
$265
40¢
$912
35¢
$4.2K
30¢
$500
25¢
$338
20¢
$1.5K
15¢
$22
10¢
$2.3K
5¢
$309
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Jay Dylan Friend (-1.5) vs James McCabe (+1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?
45.5¢$747.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?
41.5¢$433.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$432.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lyon Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Brandon Nakashima
0.0¢$370.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4.0¢$292.2Kpriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
18.5¢$281.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.