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Spread: Giants (-3.5)

● quote just now
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 22 hoursLiquidity: $139.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $69.6KEvent: Giants vs. Eagles

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

45.5¢
Giants
54.5¢
Eagles
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%
24h sample:2 trades$36.4K tracked50% 🐋source coverage 52%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 199 min agoofficial metadata just now
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYEagles$33.1K@ 55¢·SDTrading

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$36.4K
tracked
$36.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Observed tape is 199 minutes old.
  • •Less than 22h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-08 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Giants" if the Giants win the game by 4 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Eagles".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Giants and Eagles, scheduled for November 8 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Giants" if the Giants win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Eagles". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
SDTrading2 linked markets · $53.4K gross
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $5.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Eagles@ 56.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Giants; negative values favor Eagles. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGiants · $0
6hEagles · $36.4K
24hEagles · $36.4K

Giants price VWAP

Volume-weighted Giants price. Eagles fills are converted to the complementary Giants probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current45.5¢
VWAP 24h44.94¢▲ above by 0.6pp
VWAP 7d44.94¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Giants price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$33.1K
40¢
$3.3K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYEagles$33.1K@ 55.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 6 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Giants (-2.5)
54.5¢$62.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)
27.5¢$30.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Giants vs. Eagles
60.5¢$12.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 32.5
69.0¢$111priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
42.5¢$76priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
49.5¢$76priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Giants (-7.5)
31.0¢$74priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 42.5
38.5¢$15priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

SDTradingEagles$33.1K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.