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Spread: Broncos (-2.5)

● quote 19s ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: 1 dayLiquidity: $194.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $78.8KEvent: Broncos vs. Panthers

Indicative prices · 19s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

52.5¢
Broncos
47.5¢
Panthers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly20Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%
24h sample:8 trades$39.9K tracked38% 🐋source coverage 51%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 49 min agoofficial metadata 49s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBroncos$11.0K@ 52¢·Multicoloured-Serf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$233
6h
+$235
tracked
$39.9K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 49 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-08 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Broncos" if the Broncos win the game by 3 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Panthers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Broncos and Panthers, scheduled for November 8 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Broncos" if the Broncos win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Panthers". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
monkeymashingkeyboard2 linked markets · $10.2K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $7.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Broncos@ 53.0¢14h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Broncos; negative values favor Panthers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBroncos · $233
6hBroncos · $235
24hBroncos · $39.9K

Broncos price VWAP

Volume-weighted Broncos price. Panthers fills are converted to the complementary Broncos probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current52.5¢
VWAP 24h51.75¢▲ above by 0.8pp
VWAP 7d51.75¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Broncos price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$39.9K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBroncos$11.0K@ 52.0¢
Multicoloured-Serf0x958b…f826
🐋—about 15 hours ago
BUYBroncos$10.4K@ 52.0¢
Multicoloured-Serf0x958b…f826
🐋—about 15 hours ago
BUYBroncos$10.1K@ 51.0¢
monkeymashingkeyboard0x684b…8409
🐋—about 15 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Broncos (-3.5)
42.5¢$17.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Broncos vs. Panthers
58.5¢$7.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Panthers (-3.5)
26.5¢$7.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)
55.5¢$2.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Broncos (-6.5)
34.5¢$14priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Broncos (-7.5)
29.5¢$4priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Broncos (-9.5)
25.5¢$4priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Broncos vs. Panthers: O/U 32.5
84.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Multicoloured-SerfBroncos$29.5K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·3 fills
monkeymashingkeyboardBroncos$10.1K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.