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Spread: Chargers (-3.5)

● quote 54s ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 16 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $27.6KEvent: Texans vs. Chargers

Indicative prices · 54s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

19.5¢
Chargers
80.5¢
Texans
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection70Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:11 trades$5.7K trackedsource coverage 21%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 35 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChargers$2.8K@ 20¢·quavoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Chargers pressure: $4.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$4.0K
6h
+$4.0K
tracked
$5.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: Texans · $829 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 35 minutes old.
  • •Less than 16h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Chargers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-08 21:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chargers" if the Chargers win the game by 4 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Texans".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Texans and Chargers, scheduled for November 8 at 4:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chargers" if the Chargers win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Texans". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Pwaddler2 linked markets · $18.0K gross
0xe008…34a72 linked markets · $6 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chargers; negative values favor Texans. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChargers · $4.0K
6hChargers · $4.0K
24hChargers · $4.0K

Chargers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chargers price. Texans fills are converted to the complementary Chargers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current19.5¢
VWAP 24h19.52¢▼ below by 0.0pp
VWAP 7d19.52¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Chargers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$829
15¢
← now
$4.9K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.