PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B

● quote 2 min ago
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $27.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $242.4KEvent: Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B
0.1¢
Dawn Bulls
100.0¢
Zero Tenacity
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection25Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets56Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution85Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:150 trades$60.0K trackedsource coverage 25%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 42 min agoofficial metadata 16s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Dawn Bulls · $2.4K net·13 wallets·$4.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLZero Tenacity$9.0K@ 100¢·0xe16d…5e30

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Dawn Bulls pressure: $15.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$15.1K
6h
+$12.4K
tracked
$60.0K

13 verified profitable wallets: Dawn Bulls · $2.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 42 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Dawn Bulls or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-21 18:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Dawn Bulls" if Dawn Bulls win the match against Zero Tenacity.

•This market will resolve to "Zero Tenacity" if Zero Tenacity win the match against Dawn Bulls.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Dawn Bulls and Zero Tenacity in the EPL Masters Group B, initially scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dawn Bulls" if Dawn Bulls win the match against Zero Tenacity. This market will resolve to "Zero Tenacity" if Zero Tenacity win the match against Dawn Bulls. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 21, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 4h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 5h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
madar783 linked markets · $20.9K gross
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $17.9K gross
ACETONE443 linked markets · $10.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Dawn Bulls UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $222 → $591 · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Dawn Bulls; negative values favor Zero Tenacity. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDawn Bulls · $15.1K
6hDawn Bulls · $12.4K
24hDawn Bulls · $13.6K

Dawn Bulls price VWAP

Volume-weighted Dawn Bulls price. Zero Tenacity fills are converted to the complementary Dawn Bulls probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h25.6¢▼ below by 25.5pp
VWAP 7d25.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Dawn Bulls price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$20
85¢
$440
80¢
$2.0K
75¢
$313
70¢
$3.8K
65¢
$2.8K
60¢
$68
55¢
$98
50¢
$11.6K
45¢
$1.9K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$3.7K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$763
10¢
$486
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$32.0K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Handicap: DB (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)
0.0¢$765priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
0.0¢$77priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?
43.5¢$974.7Kpriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$803.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce
0.0¢$759.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?
31.5¢$597.6Kpriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-21?
9.5¢$541.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Andrey Rublev
0.0¢$540.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.