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Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $67.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $368.9KEvent: Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci
24.5¢
Terence Atmane
75.5¢
Mattia Bellucci
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection20Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets77Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution88Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:139 trades$106.5K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Mattia Bellucci · $36.8K net·13 wallets·$48.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMattia Bellucci$10.0K@ 52¢·tiger105

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Mattia Bellucci SETUP
What the tape says

Mattia Bellucci pressure: $21.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$21.2K
6h
−$34.7K
tracked
$106.5K

13 verified profitable wallets: Mattia Bellucci · $36.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 65

Since latest market sweep: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Mattia Bellucci or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-29 06:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Terence Atmane and Mattia Bellucci in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Terence Atmane' if Terence Atmane advances against Mattia Bellucci. This market will resolve to 'Mattia Bellucci' if Mattia Bellucci advances against Terence Atmane. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo2 linked markets · $1.4K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $485 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Mattia Bellucci@ 77.0¢30m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Terence Atmane UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $8.7K → $7.8K · 13s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Terence Atmane; negative values favor Mattia Bellucci. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMattia Bellucci · $21.2K
6hMattia Bellucci · $34.7K
24hMattia Bellucci · $39.3K

Terence Atmane price VWAP

Volume-weighted Terence Atmane price. Mattia Bellucci fills are converted to the complementary Terence Atmane probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current24.5¢
VWAP 24h38.5¢▼ below by 14.0pp
VWAP 7d38.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Terence Atmane price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$4.1K
45¢
$57.7K
40¢
$5.4K
35¢
$4.0K
30¢
$4
25¢
$0
20¢
← now
$35.1K
15¢
$143
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMattia Bellucci$10.0K@ 52.4¢
tiger1050x0d23…2d56
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Atmane vs. Bellucci: Match O/U 22.5
0.0¢$3.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Terence Atmane (+1.5)
0.0¢$1.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Mattia Bellucci (-1.5) vs Terence Atmane (+1.5)
0.0¢$351priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Atmane vs. Bellucci: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$91priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Terence Atmane vs. Mattia Bellucci: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$37priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci
0.0¢$28priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Atmane vs. Bellucci: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Atmane vs. Bellucci: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Mattia Bellucci$27.3K
BUY VWAP 71.4¢·10 fills
tiger105Mattia Bellucci$10.0K
BUY VWAP 52.4¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.