PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Map Handicap: PRIV (-1.5) vs fnatic (+1.5)

Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeSettlement: PRIVATELiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $59Event: Counter-Strike: PRIVATE vs fnatic (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs
100.0¢
PRIVATE payout
0.0¢
fnatic payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:3 trades$2 trackedsource coverage 9%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 122 min agoofficial metadata 56 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome PRIVATE. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-21 17:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "PRIVATE" if PRIVATE wins 2 or more maps than fnatic in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "fnatic".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between PRIVATE and fnatic in the 1win Private Club Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 7:40 AM ET. This market will resolve to "PRIVATE" if PRIVATE wins 2 or more maps than fnatic in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "fnatic". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 21, 2026 at 7:40 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining maps required to decide the match, including a map in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 56m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Satanishippie3 linked markets · $31.9K gross
aaaa2983 linked markets · $25.0K gross
redvinny2 linked markets · $19.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor PRIVATE; negative values favor fnatic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPRIVATE · $0
6hPRIVATE · $2
24hPRIVATE · $2

PRIVATE price VWAP

Volume-weighted PRIVATE price. fnatic fills are converted to the complementary PRIVATE probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h24.2¢▲ above by 75.8pp
VWAP 7d24.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

PRIVATE price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$1
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$1
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: PRIVATE vs fnatic (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs
0.0¢$427.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: PRIVATE vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner
0.0¢$276.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs PRIVATE (+1.5)
0.0¢$66.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
42.5¢$1.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?
43.5¢$964.7Kpriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce
0.0¢$759.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?
40.5¢$657.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?
31.5¢$579.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.