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Set Handicap: Ekaterina Alexandrova (-1.5) vs Leylah Fernandez (+1.5)

Sports→TennisSettlement: Leylah FernandezLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $3.1KEvent: Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
0.0¢
Ekaterina Alexandrova payout
100.0¢
Leylah Fernandez payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:3 trades$429 trackedsource coverage 15%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 111 min agoofficial metadata 27 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Leylah Fernandez. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-30 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Ekaterina Alexandrova" if Ekaterina Alexandrova wins by 2 or more sets than Leylah Fernandez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Leylah Fernandez."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Ekaterina Alexandrova can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Leylah Fernandez."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ekaterina Alexandrova and Leylah Fernandez in the Ningbo Open, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Ekaterina Alexandrova" if Ekaterina Alexandrova wins by 2 or more sets than Leylah Fernandez, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Leylah Fernandez." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Ekaterina Alexandrova can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Leylah Fernandez." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 27m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 27m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $24.7K gross
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $2.3K gross
0x168c…f24b2 linked markets · $600 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ekaterina Alexandrova; negative values favor Leylah Fernandez. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEkaterina Alexandrova · $0
6hEkaterina Alexandrova · $3
24hEkaterina Alexandrova · $3

Ekaterina Alexandrova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ekaterina Alexandrova price. Leylah Fernandez fills are converted to the complementary Ekaterina Alexandrova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h45.0¢▼ below by 45.0pp
VWAP 7d45.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ekaterina Alexandrova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$216
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$190
30¢
$24
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.