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Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)

● quote just now
Sports→SoccerCloses: about 9 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $63.5KEvent: Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC - More Markets

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

3.15¢
Villarreal CF
96.85¢
Paris Saint-Germain FC
0.3¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution68Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%
24h sample:4 trades$5.6K trackedsource coverage 9%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 947 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYParis Saint-Germain FC$2.1K@ 98¢·Ruslyam

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$5.6K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.3¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 947 minutes old.
  • •Less than 9h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Villarreal CF" if Villarreal CF win the game by 3 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Paris Saint-Germain FC".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for November 3 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Villarreal CF" if Villarreal CF win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Paris Saint-Germain FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Villarreal CF; negative values favor Paris Saint-Germain FC. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hVillarreal CF · $0
6hVillarreal CF · $0
24hParis Saint-Germain FC · $5.6K

Villarreal CF price VWAP

Volume-weighted Villarreal CF price. Paris Saint-Germain FC fills are converted to the complementary Villarreal CF probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current3.15¢
VWAP 24h2.1¢▲ above by 1.0pp
VWAP 7d2.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Villarreal CF price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$5.6K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
33.0¢$35.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)
9.5¢$23.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5
52.5¢$23.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5
72.5¢$12.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 0.5
97.35¢$440priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5
31.5¢$226priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 5.5
17.0¢$28priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)
20.5¢$19priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.