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Hornets vs. Pistons

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: 10 minutesLiquidity: $432.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $436.2KEvent: Hornets vs. Pistons

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

28.5¢
Hornets
71.5¢
Pistons
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets44Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:85 trades$168.7K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 14 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pistons · $6.2K net·5 wallets·$14.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHornets$31.1K@ 29¢·dhgreg

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Pistons pressure: $4.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$4.9K
6h
−$39.8K
tracked
$168.7K

5 verified profitable wallets: Pistons · $6.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 14 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Pistons or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-28 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Hornets win, the market will resolve to "Hornets".

•If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 28 at 7:00PM ET: If the Hornets win, the market will resolve to "Hornets". If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoii3 linked markets · $28.9K gross
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $14.9K gross
quavoo7 linked markets · $13.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Pistons@ 72.0¢47m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Pistons@ 73.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Hornets; negative values favor Pistons. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPistons · $4.9K
6hPistons · $39.8K
24hPistons · $60.2K

Hornets price VWAP

Volume-weighted Hornets price. Pistons fills are converted to the complementary Hornets probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current28.5¢
VWAP 24h28.22¢▲ above by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d28.22¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Hornets price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$8.2K
25¢
← now
$160.5K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPistons$19.7K@ 71.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—24 minutes ago
BUYHornets$31.1K@ 29.0¢
dhgreg0xf72f…a115
🐋—24 minutes ago
BUYPistons$17.2K@ 72.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYPistons$25.6K@ 73.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYPistons$14.6K@ 73.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Lakersfan111Pistons$64.1K
BUY VWAP 72.73¢·4 fills
dhgregHornets$38.6K
BUY VWAP 29.0¢·3 fills
mooseborzoiiPistons$19.7K
BUY VWAP 71.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.