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Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Antonia Ruzic

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Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $25.3KEvent: Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Antonia Ruzic
62.5¢
Katie Boulter
37.5¢
Antonia Ruzic
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection17Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:9 trades$10.3K trackedsource coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 39 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKatie Boulter$6.2K@ 63¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Antonia Ruzic pressure: $1.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.7K
6h
+$6.5K
tracked
$10.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: Katie Boulter · $6.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 39 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Antonia Ruzic or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-30 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Katie Boulter and Antonia Ruzic in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katie Boulter' if Katie Boulter advances against Antonia Ruzic. This market will resolve to 'Antonia Ruzic' if Antonia Ruzic advances against Katie Boulter. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Katie Boulter; negative values favor Antonia Ruzic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAntonia Ruzic · $1.7K
6hKatie Boulter · $6.5K
24hKatie Boulter · $6.6K

Katie Boulter price VWAP

Volume-weighted Katie Boulter price. Antonia Ruzic fills are converted to the complementary Katie Boulter probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current62.5¢
VWAP 24h63.2¢▼ below by 0.7pp
VWAP 7d63.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Katie Boulter price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
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85¢
$0
80¢
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75¢
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70¢
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65¢
$0
60¢
← now
$10.3K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Katie Boulter (-3.5) vs Antonia Ruzic (+3.5)
0.0¢$9priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Katie Boulter vs. Antonia Ruzic: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$4priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Boulter vs. Ruzic: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Boulter vs. Ruzic: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Katie Boulter vs Antonia Ruzic
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Katie Boulter (-1.5) vs Antonia Ruzic (+1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Katie Boulter vs Antonia Ruzic
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Boulter vs. Ruzic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.