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Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $237.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $697.7KEvent: Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider
3.5¢
Iva Jovic
96.5¢
Diana Shnaider
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets32Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority55Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 19 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:259 trades$245.8K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Diana Shnaider · $24.7K net·19 wallets·$73.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYIva Jovic$19.5K@ 60¢·Kkunn

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Diana Shnaider pressure: $37.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$37.3K
6h
−$45.8K
tracked
$245.8K

19 verified profitable wallets: Diana Shnaider · $24.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 55

Since latest market sweep: +20.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 20.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Diana Shnaider or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-30 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Iva Jovic and Diana Shnaider in the Ningbo Open, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iva Jovic' if Iva Jovic advances against Diana Shnaider. This market will resolve to 'Diana Shnaider' if Diana Shnaider advances against Iva Jovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
neutralwave233 linked markets · $670 gross
0x8152…5b512 linked markets · $297 gross
0xd9c9…66862 linked markets · $3 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Diana Shnaider3m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Diana Shnaider@ 77.0¢9m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Iva Jovic@ 73.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -13.0pp1h INVALIDATED -46.0pp
Latest book event: Diana Shnaider UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $1.9K → $18.0K · 21s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Iva Jovic; negative values favor Diana Shnaider. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDiana Shnaider · $37.3K
6hDiana Shnaider · $45.8K
24hDiana Shnaider · $45.6K

Iva Jovic price VWAP

Volume-weighted Iva Jovic price. Diana Shnaider fills are converted to the complementary Iva Jovic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current3.5¢
VWAP 24h48.3¢▼ below by 44.8pp
VWAP 7d48.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Iva Jovic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$13.8K
65¢
$4.3K
60¢
$15.6K
55¢
$81.5K
50¢
$35.2K
45¢
$15.1K
40¢
$26.4K
35¢
$341
30¢
$4.8K
25¢
$26.2K
20¢
$13.2K
15¢
$2.8K
10¢
$3.2K
5¢
$3.3K
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYDiana Shnaider$16.7K@ 74.7¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—11 minutes ago
BUYIva Jovic$19.5K@ 59.7¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set 2 Winner: Iva Jovic vs Diana Shnaider
0.0¢$5.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jovic vs. Shnaider: Match O/U 21.5
0.0¢$1.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Iva Jovic (-0.5) vs Diana Shnaider (+0.5)
0.0¢$1.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Iva Jovic vs. Diana Shnaider: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢$852priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Diana Shnaider (-1.5) vs Iva Jovic (+1.5)
0.0¢$147priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jovic vs. Shnaider: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jovic vs. Shnaider: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Jovic vs. Shnaider: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesDiana Shnaider$36.4K
BUY VWAP 46.9¢·14 fills
KkunnIva Jovic$30.9K
BUY VWAP 48.2¢·4 fills
kkookkooDiana Shnaider$23.3K
BUY VWAP 74.8¢·2 fills
RN1Diana Shnaider$17.7K
BUY VWAP 48.5¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.