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Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz

Sports→TennisCloses: 8 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz
0.0¢
Daniel Altmaier
0.0¢
NO
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection100Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:16 trades$189 trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 27 min agoofficial metadata 168 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Daniel Altmaier · $189 net·2 wallets·$189 gross

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$189
6h
+$189
tracked
$189

2 verified profitable wallets: Daniel Altmaier · $189 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 27 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 168 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-30 13:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Altmaier and Taylor Fritz in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Altmaier' if Daniel Altmaier advances against Taylor Fritz. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Daniel Altmaier. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Daniel Altmaier; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDaniel Altmaier · $189
6hDaniel Altmaier · $189
24hDaniel Altmaier · $189

Daniel Altmaier price VWAP

Volume-weighted Daniel Altmaier price. NO fills are converted to the complementary Daniel Altmaier probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h22.4¢▼ below by NaNpp
VWAP 7d22.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Daniel Altmaier price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$189
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Altmaier vs. Fritz: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Altmaier vs. Fritz: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Daniel Altmaier vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Altmaier vs. Fritz: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Taylor Fritz (-4.5) vs Daniel Altmaier (+4.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Altmaier vs. Fritz: Match O/U 23.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Altmaier vs. Fritz: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.