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Brisbane Bullets vs. Cairns Taipans

● quote 50s ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $132.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $68.3KEvent: Brisbane Bullets vs. Cairns Taipans

Indicative prices · 50s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Brisbane Bullets
99.95¢
Cairns Taipans
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets52Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 71%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:38 trades$17.1K trackedsource coverage 24%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 15 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Brisbane Bullets · $117 net·3 wallets·$224 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBrisbane Bullets$3.6K@ 52¢·0xbc43…96d3

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$622
6h
+$3.4K
tracked
$17.1K

3 verified profitable wallets: Brisbane Bullets · $117 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 71% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 15 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-05 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nbl.com.au/
Outcome meaning

•If the Brisbane Bullets win, the market will resolve to "Brisbane Bullets".

•If the Cairns Taipans win, the market will resolve to "Cairns Taipans".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for October 29 at 5:00AM ET: If the Brisbane Bullets win, the market will resolve to "Brisbane Bullets". If the Cairns Taipans win, the market will resolve to "Cairns Taipans". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xbc43…96d32 linked markets · $12.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Cairns Taipans UP 6.5pp · near-book depth $2.4K → $7.3K · 104s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Brisbane Bullets; negative values favor Cairns Taipans. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCairns Taipans · $622
6hBrisbane Bullets · $3.4K
24hBrisbane Bullets · $3.4K

Brisbane Bullets price VWAP

Volume-weighted Brisbane Bullets price. Cairns Taipans fills are converted to the complementary Brisbane Bullets probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h50.99¢▼ below by 50.9pp
VWAP 7d50.99¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Brisbane Bullets price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$47
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$15.9K
45¢
$0
40¢
$29
35¢
$123
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$67
10¢
$215
5¢
$355
0¢
← now
$378

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.