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Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $239.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $870.9KEvent: Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

66.5¢
Ann Li
33.5¢
Ashlyn Krueger
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets34Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution86Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 15 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:181 trades$320.5K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 52s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ashlyn Krueger · $61.2K net·15 wallets(3🐋)·$177.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAshlyn Krueger$46.8K@ 35¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Ashlyn Krueger pressure: $10.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$10.0K
6h
+$9.1K
tracked
$320.5K

15 verified profitable wallets: Ashlyn Krueger · $61.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 50

Since latest accumulation: +8.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 8.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Ashlyn Krueger or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-31 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ann Li and Ashlyn Krueger in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ann Li' if Ann Li advances against Ashlyn Krueger. This market will resolve to 'Ashlyn Krueger' if Ashlyn Krueger advances against Ann Li. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
SeventyPercentPlus2 linked markets · $31.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Ashlyn Krueger50m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Ashlyn Krueger50m ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Ann Li@ 59.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h INVALIDATED -20.0pp
POSITION CHANGEBUY Ann Li@ 57.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -18.0pp
Latest book event: Ashlyn Krueger DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $27.0K → $40.4K · 15s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ann Li; negative values favor Ashlyn Krueger. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAshlyn Krueger · $10.0K
6hAnn Li · $9.1K
24hAnn Li · $12.1K

Ann Li price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ann Li price. Ashlyn Krueger fills are converted to the complementary Ann Li probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current66.5¢
VWAP 24h60.9¢▲ above by 5.6pp
VWAP 7d60.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ann Li price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$61.2K
70¢
$16.6K
65¢
← now
$60.0K
60¢
$100.0K
55¢
$19.7K
50¢
$21.3K
45¢
$232
40¢
$6.3K
35¢
$109
30¢
$28.6K
25¢
$6.4K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAnn Li$14.5K@ 58.0¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAnn Li$13.2K@ 63.0¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAshlyn Krueger$46.8K@ 35.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAshlyn Krueger$38.9K@ 25.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAnn Li$14.0K@ 74.64¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAnn Li$14.1K@ 75.0¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAnn Li$28.8K@ 62.0¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYAnn Li$10.3K@ 61.0¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 6 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set 2 Winner: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger
99.95¢$8.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ann Li vs. Ashlyn Krueger: Total Sets O/U 2.5
99.95¢$200priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Li vs. Krueger: Match O/U 22.5
99.95¢$24priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Li vs. Krueger: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Li vs. Krueger: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Li vs. Krueger: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Li vs. Krueger: Match O/U 21.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Ann Li (-1.5) vs Ashlyn Krueger (+1.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

WoaifacaiAnn Li$55.8K
BUY VWAP 66.82¢·4 fills
KkunnAnn Li$48.3K
BUY VWAP 52.49¢·3 fills
0x2c33…0563Ashlyn Krueger$46.8K
BUY VWAP 35.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Ashlyn Krueger$38.9K
BUY VWAP 25.0¢·1 fill
SeventyPercentPlusAnn Li$17.4K
BUY VWAP 57.11¢·3 fills
0x076d…8d4cAshlyn Krueger$12.7K
BUY VWAP 46.44¢·3 fills
FlaznorpAshlyn Krueger$11.5K
BUY VWAP 37.79¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.