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Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro - Map 3 Winner

● quote 6 min ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $20.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $116.4KEvent: Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro (BO5) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs

Indicative prices · 6 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Team Nemesis
0.05¢
Virtus.pro
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection37Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution83Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:33 trades$32.7K trackedsource coverage 28%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 56 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Virtus.pro · $21.4K net·3 wallets·$21.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTeam Nemesis$6.9K@ 100¢·0x246b…fb5b

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Virtus.pro pressure: $12.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$12.0K
6h
−$18.9K
tracked
$32.7K

3 verified profitable wallets: Virtus.pro · $21.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 6 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 56 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Virtus.pro or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-23 22:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Nemesis" if Team Nemesis win Map 3 against Virtus.pro.

•This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win Map 3 against Team Nemesis.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand Final match between Team Nemesis and Virtus.pro in the CIS LAN Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Nemesis" if Team Nemesis win Map 3 against Virtus.pro. This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win Map 3 against Team Nemesis. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 3. If Map 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 5h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
RN12 linked markets · $27.5K gross
aaaa2985 linked markets · $13.8K gross
0x246b…fb5b2 linked markets · $12.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Team Nemesis DOWN 5.5pp · near-book depth $1.4K → $1.9K · 26s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Nemesis; negative values favor Virtus.pro. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hVirtus.pro · $12.0K
6hVirtus.pro · $18.9K
24hVirtus.pro · $18.9K

Team Nemesis price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Nemesis price. Virtus.pro fills are converted to the complementary Team Nemesis probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h79.74¢▲ above by 20.2pp
VWAP 7d79.74¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Nemesis price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$18.0K
90¢
$50
85¢
$0
80¢
$23
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$32
60¢
$0
55¢
$12.1K
50¢
$1.4K
45¢
$1.1K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro (BO5) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs
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99.5¢$25priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)
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Map Handicap: NEM (-2.5) vs Virtus.pro (+2.5)
0.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.