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Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Yihan Qu vs Teodora Kostovic

● quote 314 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $256.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $215.6KEvent: Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Yihan Qu vs Teodora Kostovic

Indicative prices · 314 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

1.0¢
Yihan Qu
99.9¢
Teodora Kostovic
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:45 trades$94.8K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 343 min agoofficial metadata 315 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Yihan Qu · $17.7K net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$17.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTeodora Kostovic$39.8K@ 99¢·0xc1a9…e2db

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$46.1K
tracked
$94.8K

6 verified profitable wallets: Yihan Qu · $17.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 314 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 343 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 315 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-31 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yihan Qu and Teodora Kostovic in the Guangzhou Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yihan Qu' if Yihan Qu advances against Teodora Kostovic. This market will resolve to 'Teodora Kostovic' if Teodora Kostovic advances against Yihan Qu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Teodora Kostovic6h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Teodora Kostovic@ 46.0¢6h ago
15m CONFIRMED +39.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Yihan Qu@ 55.0¢6h ago
15m INVALIDATED -42.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Yihan Qu@ 48.0¢6h ago
15m INVALIDATED -29.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Yihan Qu DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $133 → $4.2K · 18s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yihan Qu; negative values favor Teodora Kostovic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYihan Qu · $0
6hYihan Qu · $46.1K
24hYihan Qu · $39.1K

Yihan Qu price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yihan Qu price. Teodora Kostovic fills are converted to the complementary Yihan Qu probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h22.26¢▼ below by 21.3pp
VWAP 7d22.26¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yihan Qu price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$2.3K
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.0K
45¢
$22.7K
40¢
$0
35¢
$17.5K
30¢
$1.6K
25¢
$615
20¢
$1.9K
15¢
$175
10¢
$446
5¢
$559
0¢
← now
$46.0K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTeodora Kostovic$39.8K@ 99.0¢0xc1a9…e2db🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYTeodora Kostovic$16.5K@ 53.47¢0xc1a9…e2db🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYYihan Qu$17.4K@ 39.9¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 6 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Teodora Kostovic (-1.5) vs Yihan Qu (+1.5)
—$195priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Qu vs. Kostovic: Match O/U 23.5
—$4priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Teodora Kostovic (-5.5) vs Yihan Qu (+5.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Yihan Qu vs. Teodora Kostovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
99.95¢$4.9Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
46.5¢$2.7Mpriority58Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)
0.05¢$1.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Heat vs. Hornets
59.5¢$879.4Kpriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xc1a9…e2dbTeodora Kostovic$21.5K
BUY VWAP 53.36¢·2 fills
0x2c33…0563Yihan Qu$17.4K
BUY VWAP 39.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.