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Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider

Sports→TennisSettlement: Elena RybakinaLiquidity: $517.2KOfficial 24h Vol: —Event: Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider
100.0¢
Elena Rybakina payout
0.0¢
Diana Shnaider payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYElena Rybakina$40.2K@ 62¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Elena Rybakina. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-31 09:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Rybakina and Diana Shnaider in the Ningbo Open, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Diana Shnaider. This market will resolve to 'Diana Shnaider' if Diana Shnaider advances against Elena Rybakina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 9d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 9d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Elena Rybakina9d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Elena Rybakina9d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Elena Rybakina9d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Elena Rybakina@ 66.0¢9d ago
15m STALLED +3.0pp1h CONFIRMED +8.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Elena Rybakina; negative values favor Diana Shnaider. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDiana Shnaider · $50.6K
6hElena Rybakina · $126.0K
24hElena Rybakina · $126.7K

Elena Rybakina price VWAP

Volume-weighted Elena Rybakina price. Diana Shnaider fills are converted to the complementary Elena Rybakina probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h71.7¢▲ above by 28.3pp
VWAP 7d71.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Elena Rybakina price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$56.0K
90¢
$1.3K
85¢
$3.7K
80¢
$8.0K
75¢
$29.3K
70¢
$4.3K
65¢
$3.4K
60¢
$189.4K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLElena Rybakina$23.5K@ 99.9¢
Mambaxbt0x9aa1…65f7
🐋—9 days ago
BUYElena Rybakina$18.1K@ 76.0¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—9 days ago
BUYElena Rybakina$21.5K@ 62.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—9 days ago
BUYElena Rybakina$19.3K@ 62.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—9 days ago
BUYDiana Shnaider$12.1K@ 39.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋—9 days ago
BUYElena Rybakina$40.2K@ 62.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—9 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.