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European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tallon Griekspoor

Sports→TennisSettlement: Tallon GriekspoorLiquidity: $435.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $420.7KEvent: European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tallon Griekspoor
0.0¢
Francisco Cerundolo payout
100.0¢
Tallon Griekspoor payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:109 trades$216.4K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 51%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 38 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Francisco Cerundolo · $73.5K net·13 wallets(2🐋)·$108.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTallon Griekspoor$64.3K@ 100¢·Kkunn

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Tallon Griekspoor. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-31 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Cerundolo and Tallon Griekspoor in the European Open, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Tallon Griekspoor. This market will resolve to 'Tallon Griekspoor' if Tallon Griekspoor advances against Francisco Cerundolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Francisco Cerundolo@ 86.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -21.0pp1h INVALIDATED -23.0pp
Latest book event: Francisco Cerundolo DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $149 → $27 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Francisco Cerundolo; negative values favor Tallon Griekspoor. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFrancisco Cerundolo · $3.2K
6hFrancisco Cerundolo · $74.0K
24hFrancisco Cerundolo · $73.3K

Francisco Cerundolo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Francisco Cerundolo price. Tallon Griekspoor fills are converted to the complementary Francisco Cerundolo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h37.2¢▼ below by 37.2pp
VWAP 7d37.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Francisco Cerundolo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$2.1K
90¢
$2.0K
85¢
$15.0K
80¢
$27.6K
75¢
$1.6K
70¢
$0
65¢
$2.9K
60¢
$39.9K
55¢
$10.8K
50¢
$1.3K
45¢
$13
40¢
$23
35¢
$339
30¢
$4.7K
25¢
$3.7K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$26.6K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$77.8K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTallon Griekspoor$64.3K@ 99.9¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTallon Griekspoor$20.0K@ 88.5¢
Paul9739730xa108…abd3
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTallon Griekspoor$11.4K@ 38.96¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFrancisco Cerundolo$20.2K@ 84.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 3 hours ago
SELLFrancisco Cerundolo$14.5K@ 85.08¢
Luzzzer0x2180…08f0
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYFrancisco Cerundolo$10.7K@ 62.64¢
Luzzzer0x2180…08f0
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Francisco Cerundolo$20.2K
BUY VWAP 84.0¢·1 fill
Paul973973Tallon Griekspoor$20.0K
BUY VWAP 88.5¢·1 fill
KkunnTallon Griekspoor$12.6K
BUY VWAP 34.49¢·2 fills
LuzzzerFrancisco Cerundolo$10.7K
BUY VWAP 62.64¢·1 fill
UpTheBluesFrancisco Cerundolo$10.2K
BUY VWAP 73.39¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.