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Hornets vs. Wizards

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 9 hoursLiquidity: $231.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $249.9KEvent: Hornets vs. Wizards

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

48.5¢
Hornets
51.5¢
Wizards
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority68Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:107 trades$94.4K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Hornets · $31.1K net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$31.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHornets$14.4K@ 48¢·hewhodoesit

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Hornets SETUP
What the tape says

Hornets pressure: $1.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.7K
6h
+$30.1K
tracked
$94.4K

6 verified profitable wallets: Hornets · $31.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 68

Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 9h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Hornets or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-30 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Hornets win, the market will resolve to "Hornets".

•If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 30 at 7:00PM ET: If the Hornets win, the market will resolve to "Hornets". If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mhhsw9662 linked markets · $4.5K gross
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $4.0K gross
Flaznorp2 linked markets · $1.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Hornets@ 50.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Hornets; negative values favor Wizards. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHornets · $1.7K
6hHornets · $30.1K
24hHornets · $50.0K

Hornets price VWAP

Volume-weighted Hornets price. Wizards fills are converted to the complementary Hornets probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current48.5¢
VWAP 24h48.09¢▲ above by 0.4pp
VWAP 7d48.11¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Hornets price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$4.9K
45¢
← now
$90.8K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHornets$10.1K@ 49.0¢
Talvez100xa710…23c4
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHornets$11.2K@ 48.0¢
Talvez100xa710…23c4
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYHornets$14.4K@ 48.0¢
hewhodoesit0xf4f3…a1a1
🐋—about 9 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Wizards (-1.5)
47.5¢$20.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)
47.5¢$11.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5
—$7.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Hornets (-8.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Hornets (-14.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hornets vs. Wizards: O/U 243.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Hornets (-24.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Talvez10Hornets$26.1K
BUY VWAP 48.74¢·3 fills
hewhodoesitHornets$14.4K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.